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Recent Commentaries

From the Vault

This month’s “From the Vault” is a little more recent than usual, but I thought it would be an enjoyable reprint before year end. We don’t need rate cuts to get risk assets to go higher – April 10, 2024. The CNBC video below from one month ago, after the hotter CPI prints to start the year…

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Thankfully, Scott Bessent is no Bob Rubin

It’s been three weeks since Trump's win, and so far spoos have rallied around 3.5%, while EURUSD has depreciated around 3.5%. I suspect most macro traders would have predicted moves exactly like these in the equity and currency markets, even if 17 Nobel laureates were...

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Efficiency vs Equity; Trump vs Harris; Spoos vs Blues

Before kicking off today’s missive I want to remind those in the NYC area about our “Macro & Margaritas” event at 5pm on Tuesday, Oct 8th at one of my favorite Mexican spots — Tacombi Flatiron. Please reach out to your Jefferies salesperson if you would like to enjoy...

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