Recent Commentaries
From the Vault
This month’s “From the Vault” is a little more recent than usual, but I thought it would be an enjoyable reprint before year end. We don’t need rate cuts to get risk assets to go higher – April 10, 2024. The CNBC video below from one month ago, after the hotter CPI prints to start the year…
Thankfully, Scott Bessent is no Bob Rubin
It’s been three weeks since Trump's win, and so far spoos have rallied around 3.5%, while EURUSD has depreciated around 3.5%. I suspect most macro traders would have predicted moves exactly like these in the equity and currency markets, even if 17 Nobel laureates were...
Efficiency vs Equity; Trump vs Harris; Spoos vs Blues
Before kicking off today’s missive I want to remind those in the NYC area about our “Macro & Margaritas” event at 5pm on Tuesday, Oct 8th at one of my favorite Mexican spots — Tacombi Flatiron. Please reach out to your Jefferies salesperson if you would like to enjoy...